Budget 2026: Why India's Auto Sector Feels "Left Wanting"
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Budget 2026: Why India's Auto Sector Feels "Left Wanting"

By PrincipaCore Team • Feb 12, 2026

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US Just Cut Tariffs on Indian Auto Parts: Why This Changes Everything for India's Export Story

The US has sharply reduced tariffs on Indian auto parts, with nearly 50% of exports now entering duty-free and most of the rest capped at ~18% instead of 25–50% earlier. Since the US accounts for about 27% of India’s auto component exports, this move significantly restores competitiveness, improves long-term contract visibility, and could drive low-to-mid-teen export growth over the next few years. While policy and quota risks remain, the shift marks a structural tailwind for India’s auto component industry and export story.

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Union Budget 2026: What the Numbers Actually Mean for India's Economy in FY27

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India's economy is currently the world's fastest-growing major economy, projected to hit 7.3% GDP growth in FY26, a "Goldilocks" moment driven by tax cuts, a manufacturing boom (especially in electronics and the China+1 strategy), the rise of AI services, rural recovery, and historically low inflation that has enabled interest rate cuts. While temporary cyclical boosts will see growth moderate to a healthy 6.4% in FY27, long-term structural advantages—such as services export dominance and favorable demographics with a young population—position India for a decade of sustained 6-7% growth, creating significant job opportunities in sectors like technology, manufacturing, and logistics for Gen-Z.

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India's $1 Trillion Digital Economy: The Historic Convergence No One's Talking About

Based on a triangulation of data from government sources, tier-1 financial institutions, and corporate filings, our analysis confirms that India's digital economy is on an irreversible trajectory to hit $1 Trillion by 2030 (potentially FY28). This is not merely a linear projection of past IT success; it is a historic convergence of two distinct forces. We are witnessing the mature $283B IT Services sector pivoting to high-margin AI delivery, colliding with a nascent but exploding $125B Electronics Manufacturing sector growing at a massive 32% CAGR. The primary catalyst is structural: Apple’s decision to shift its supply chain to India is rapidly building an entire component ecosystem, supported by targeted government PLI capital. However, the data reveals a critical bottleneck that few are discussing—an 18 million person talent deficit in specialized technical roles. While capital and infrastructure are aligning, the human resource gap remains the single greatest threat to the timeline. This report analyzes the hard numbers behind the growth, the margin pressures in manufacturing, and the realistic probabilities of hitting the target date based on talent acquisition and geopolitical stability.

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